Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/8651
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Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 6Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus with the Impact of Media Coverage(Elsevier, 2021) Fatima, BiBi; Alqudah, Manar A.; Zaman, Gul; Jarad, Fahd; Abdeljawad, ThabetMiddle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus has been persistent in the Middle East region since 2012. In this paper, we propose a deterministic mathematical model to investigate the effect of media coverage on the transmission and control of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus disease. In order to do this we develop model formulation. Basic reproduction number R-0 will be calculated from the model to assess the transmissibility of the (MERS-CoV). We discuss the existence of backward bifurcation for some range of parameters. We also show stability of the model to figure out the stability condition and impact of media coverage. We show a special case of the model for which the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Finally all the theoretical results will be verified with the help of numerical simulation for easy understanding.Article Citation - WoS: 132Citation - Scopus: 158On a New and Generalized Fractional Model for a Real Cholera Outbreak(Elsevier, 2022) Ghassabzade, Fahimeh Akhavan; Nieto, Juan J.; Jajarmi, Amin; Baleanu, DumitruIn this paper, a new mathematical model involving the general form of Caputo fractional derivative is studied for a real case of cholera outbreak. Fundamental properties of the new model including the equilibrium points as well as the basic reproduction number are explored. Also, an efficient approximation scheme on the basis of product-integration rule is established to solve the new model. Several kernel functions for the general fractional derivative are tested, and the results are compared with the real data of a cholera outbreak in Yemen. As a consequence, we find a special case in which the aforesaid outbreak is described better, for the corresponding numerical simulations are closer to the real data than the other classical and fractional frameworks. Next, we apply the most realistic model to investigate the effect of vaccination on the considered cholera outbreak. Simulation results show that earlier vaccination could reduce the number of infected individuals effectively, so mortality would have been reduced considerably if the vaccination had been performed earlier. (c) 2022 THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 6Numerical Treatments for the Optimal Control of Two Types Variable-Order Covid-19 Model(Elsevier, 2022) Al-Mekhlafi, Seham; Shatta, Salma; Baleanu, Dumitru; Sweilam, NasserIn this paper, a novel variable-order COVID-19 model with modified parameters is presented. The variable -order fractional derivatives are defined in the Caputo sense. Two types of variable order Caputo definitions are presented here. The basic reproduction number of the model is derived. Properties of the proposed model are studied analytically and numerically. The suggested optimal control model is studied using two numerical methods. These methods are non-standard generalized fourth-order Runge-Kutta method and the non-standard generalized fifth-order Runge-Kutta technique. Furthermore, the stability of the proposed methods are studied. To demonstrate the methodologies' simplicity and effectiveness, numerical test examples and comparisons with real data for Egypt and Italy are shown.Article Citation - WoS: 21Citation - Scopus: 27Numerical Study for Two Types Variable-Order Burgers' Equations With Proportional Delay(Elsevier, 2020) Al-Mekhlafi, Seham; Shatta, Salma; Baleanu, Dumitru; Sweilam, NasserIn this paper, variable order Burgers' equations with proportional delays in time and space are studied. The variable order derivatives are defined in the sense of Atangana and Baleanu. Two types of variable order Atangana and Baleanu definitions are presented here. The nonstandard weighted average finite difference method is developed to study numerically the proposed models problem in one and two dimensional. Moreover, the stability analysis and truncation error are analyzed. Two test examples with proportional delays are given to characterizing the memory property of the proposed models. It is found that the proposed technique can be applied to study such variable-order fractional equations simply and effectively. (C) 2020 IMACS. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 16Citation - Scopus: 16Stability and Bifurcation Analyses of a Discrete Lotka-Volterra Type Predator-Prey System With Refuge Effect(Elsevier, 2023) Bilazeroglu, Seyma; Merdan, Huseyin; Yildiz, SevvalIn this paper, we discuss the complex dynamical behavior of a discrete Lotka-Volterra type predator-prey model including refuge effect. The model considered is obtained from a continuous-time population model by utilizing the forward Euler method. First of all, we nondimensionalize the system to continue the analysis with fewer parameters. And then, we determine the fixed points of the dimensionless system. We investigate the dynamical behavior of the system by performing the local stability analysis for each fixed point, separately. Moreover, we analytically show the existence of flip and Neimark-Sacker bifurcations at the positive fixed point by applying the normal form theory and the center manifold theorem. Bifurcation analyses are carried out by choosing the integral step size as a bifurcation parameter. In addition, we perform numerical simulations to support and extend the analytical results. All these analyses have been done for the models with and without the refuge effect to examine the effect of refuge on the dynamics. We have concluded that the refuge has significant role on the dynamical behavior of a discrete system. Furthermore, numerical simulations underline that the large integral step size causes the chaotic behavior. (c) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 72Citation - Scopus: 78Dynamical Behaviours and Stability Analysis of a Generalized Fractional Model With a Real Case Study(Elsevier, 2023) Baleanu, D.; Arshad, S.; Jajarmi, A.; Shokat, W.; Ghassabzade, F. Akhavan; Wali, M.Introduction: Mathematical modelling is a rapidly expanding field that offers new and interesting oppor-tunities for both mathematicians and biologists. Concerning COVID-19, this powerful tool may help humans to prevent the spread of this disease, which has affected the livelihood of all people badly. Objectives: The main objective of this research is to explore an efficient mathematical model for the investigation of COVID-19 dynamics in a generalized fractional framework.Methods: The new model in this paper is formulated in the Caputo sense, employs a nonlinear time -varying transmission rate, and consists of ten population classes including susceptible, infected, diag-nosed, ailing, recognized, infected real, threatened, diagnosed recovered, healed, and extinct people. The existence of a unique solution is explored for the new model, and the associated dynamical beha-viours are discussed in terms of equilibrium points, invariant region, local and global stability, and basic reproduction number. To implement the proposed model numerically, an efficient approximation scheme is employed by the combination of Laplace transform and a successive substitution approach; besides, the corresponding convergence analysis is also investigated.Results: Numerical simulations are reported for various fractional orders, and simulation results are com-pared with a real case of COVID-19 pandemic in Italy. By using these comparisons between the simulated and measured data, we find the best value of the fractional order with minimum absolute and relative errors. Also, the impact of different parameters on the spread of viral infection is analyzed and studied.Conclusion: According to the comparative results with real data, we justify the use of fractional concepts in the mathematical modelling, for the new non-integer formalism simulates the reality more precisely than the classical framework.& COPY; 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 12Two-Wave, Breather Wave Solutions and Stability Analysis To the (2+1)-Dimensional Ito Equation(Elsevier, 2022) Yusuf, Abdullahi; Hincal, Evren; Baleanu, Dumitru; Bayram, Mustafa; Sulaiman, Tukur AbdulkadirThe current study employs the novel Hirota bilinear scheme to investigate the nonlinear model. Thus, we acquire some two-wave and breather wave solutions to the governing equation. Breathers are pulsating localized structures that have been used to mimic extreme waves in a variety of nonlinear dispersive media with a narrow banded starting process. Several recent investigations, on the other hand, imply that breathers can survive in more complex habitats, such as random seas, despite the attributed phys-ical restrictions. The authenticity and genuineness of all the acquired solutions agreed with the original equation. In order to shed more light on these novel solutions, we plot the 3-dimensional and contour graphs to the reported solutions with some suitable values. The governing model is also stable because of the idea of linear stability. The study's findings may help explain the physics behind some of the chal-lenges facing ocean engineers.(c) 2021 Shanghai Jiaotong University. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ )Article Citation - WoS: 17Citation - Scopus: 21Nonstandard Finite Difference Method for Solving Complex-Order Fractional Burgers' Equations(Elsevier, 2020) AL-Mekhlafi, S. M.; Baleanu, D.; Sweilam, N. H.The aim of this work is to present numerical treatments to a complex order fractional nonlinear one-dimensional problem of Burgers' equations. A new parameter sigma(t) is presented in order to be consistent with the physical model problem. This parameter characterizes the existence of fractional structures in the equations. A relation between the parameter sigma(t) and the time derivative complex order is derived. An unconditionally stable numerical scheme using a kind of weighted average nonstandard finite-difference discretization is presented. Stability analysis of this method is studied. Numerical simulations are given to confirm the reliability of the proposed method. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University.Article Citation - WoS: 28Citation - Scopus: 32New Applications Related To Covid-19(Elsevier, 2021) Ahmed, Nauman; Raza, Ali; Iqbal, Zafar; Rafiq, Muhammad; Baleanu, Dumitru; Rehman, Muhammad Aziz-ur; Akgul, AliAnalysis of mathematical models projected for COVID-19 presents in many valuable outputs. We analyze a model of differential equation related to Covid-19 in this paper. We use fractal-fractional derivatives in the proposed model. We analyze the equilibria of the model. We discuss the stability analysis in details. We apply very effective method to obtain the numerical results. We demonstrate our results by the numerical simulations.Article Citation - WoS: 33Citation - Scopus: 35Mathematical Analysis for the Effect of Voluntary Vaccination on the Propagation of Corona Virus Pandemic(Elsevier, 2021) Abbas, M.; Rafiq, M.; Baleanu, D.; Ahmad, W.In this manuscript, a new nonlinear model for the rapidly spreading Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is developed. We incorporate an additional class of vaccinated humans which ascertains the impact of vaccination strategy for susceptible humans. A complete mathematical analysis of this model is conducted to predict the dynamics of Corona virus in the population. The analysis proves the effectiveness of vaccination strategy employed and helps public health services to control or to reduce the burden of corona virus pandemic. We first prove the existence and uniqueness and then boundedness and positivity of solutions. Threshold parameter for the vaccination model is computed analytically. Stability of the proposed model at fixed points is investigated analytically with the help of threshold parameter to examine epidemiological relevance of the pandemic. We apply LaSalle's invariance principle from the theory of Lyapunov function to prove the global stability of both the equilibria. Two well known numerical techniques namely Runge-Kutta method of order 4 (RK4), and the Non-Standard Finite Difference (NSFD) method are employed to solve the system of ODE's and to validate our obtained theoretical results. For different coverage levels of voluntary vaccination, we explored a complete quantitative analysis of the model. To draw our conclusions, the effect of proposed vaccination on threshold parameter is studied numerically. It is claimed that Corona virus disease could be eradicated faster if a human community selfishly adopts mandatory vaccination measures at various coverage levels with proper awareness. Finally, we have executed the joint variability of all classes to understand the effect of vaccination strategy on a disease dynamics.