Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/8651
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Article Covid-19 Pandemic Microplastics Environmental Impacts Predicted by Deep Random Forest (Drf) Predictive Model(Springer, 2024) Chen, Liping; Sabonchi, Arkan K. S.; Nanehkaran, Yaser A.BackgroundMicroplastic pollution is a pressing issue with far-reaching environmental and public health consequences. This study delves into the intricacies of predicting microplastic pollution during the COVID-19 pandemic in Tehran, Iran.MethodsThe research introduces a rigorous comparative analysis that evaluates the predictive prowess of the Deep Random Forest algorithm and established benchmarks, such as Random Forest, Decision Trees, Gradient Boosting, AdaBoost, and Support Vector Machine. The evaluation process encompasses a meticulous 70-30 training-testing split of the main data set. Performance is assessed by analysis metrics, including ROC and statistical errors. The primary data set encompasses distinct categories, including household wastes, hospital wastes, clinics wastes, and unknown-originated susceptible waste which is categorized in Infected items, PPEs, SUPs, Test kits, Medical packages, Unknown-originated pandemic mircoplastic waste. Deliberately, this data set was partitioned into training and testing subsets, ensuring the robustness and reliability of subsequent analyses. Approximately 70% of the main database was allocated to the training data set, with the remaining 30% constituting the testing data set.ResultsThe findings underscore the proposed algorithm's supremacy, boasting an impressive AUC = 0.941. This exceptional score reflects the model's precision in categorizing microplastics. These results have profound implications for environmental management and public health during pandemics.ConclusionsThe study positions the proposed model as a potent tool for microplastic pollution prediction, encouraging further research to refine predictive models and tap into new data sources for a more comprehensive understanding of microplastic dynamics in urban settings.Article Citation - WoS: 19Citation - Scopus: 27Software Professionals During the Covid-19 Pandemic in Turkey: Factors Affecting Their Mental Well-Being and Work Engagement in the Home-Based Work Setting(Elsevier Science inc, 2022) Tokdemir, GulWith the COVID-19 pandemic, strict measures have been taken to slow down the spread of the virus, and consequently, software professionals have been forced to work from home. However, home based working entails many challenges, as the home environment is shared by the whole family simultaneously under pandemic conditions. The aim of this study is to explore software professionals' mental well-being and work engagement and the relationships of these variables with job strain and resource-related factors in the forced home-based work setting during the COVID-19 pandemic. An online cross-sectional survey based on primarily well-known, validated scales was conducted with software professionals in Turkey. The analysis of the results was performed through hierarchical multivariate regression. The results suggest that despite the negative effect of job strain, the resource related protective factors, namely, sleep quality, decision latitude, work-life balance, exercise predict mental well-being. Additionally, work engagement is predicted by job strain, sleep quality, and decision latitude. The results of the study will provide valuable insights to management of the software companies and professionals about the precautions that can be taken to have a better home-based working experience such as allowing greater autonomy and enhancing the quality of sleep and hence mitigating the negative effects of pandemic emergency situations on software professionals' mental well-being and work engagement. (C)& nbsp;2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 8Predicting the Severity of Covid-19 Patients Using a Multi-Threaded Evolutionary Feature Selection Algorithm(Wiley, 2022) Kiziloz, Hakan Ezgi; Sevinc, Ender; Dokeroglu, Tansel; Deniz, AycaThe COVID-19 pandemic has huge effects on the global community and an extreme burden on health systems. There are more than 185 million confirmed cases and 4 million deaths as of July 2021. Besides, the exponential rise in COVID-19 cases requires a quick prediction of the patients' severity for better treatment. In this study, we propose a Multi-threaded Genetic feature selection algorithm combined with Extreme Learning Machines (MG-ELM) to predict the severity level of the COVID-19 patients. We conduct a set of experiments on a recently published real-world dataset. We reprocess the dataset via feature construction to improve the learning performance of the algorithm. Upon comprehensive experiments, we report the most impactful features and symptoms for predicting the patients' severity level. Moreover, we investigate the effects of multi-threaded implementation with statistical analysis. In order to verify the efficiency of MG-ELM, we compare our results with traditional and state-of-the-art techniques. The proposed algorithm outperforms other algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.Article Citation - WoS: 50Citation - Scopus: 55Numerical Analysis of Atangana-Baleanu Fractional Model To Understand the Propagation of a Novel Corona Virus Pandemic(Elsevier, 2022) Butt, A. I. K.; Ahmad, W.; Rafiq, M.; Baleanu, D.In this manuscript, we formulated a new nonlinear SEIQR fractional order pandemic model for the Corona virus disease (COVID-19) with Atangana-Baleanu derivative. Two main equilibrium points F-0*, F-1* of the proposed model are stated. Threshold parameter R-0 for the model using next generation technique is computed to investigate the future dynamics of the disease. The existence and uniqueness of solution is proved using a fixed point theorem. For the numerical solution of fractional model, we implemented a newly proposed Toufik-Atangana numerical scheme to validate the importance of arbitrary order derivative q and our obtained theoretical results. It is worth mentioning that fractional order derivative provides much deeper information about the complex dynamics of Corona model. Results obtained through the proposed scheme are dynamically consistent and good in agreement with the analytical results. To draw our conclusions, we explore a complete quantitative analysis of the given model for different quarantine levels. It is claimed through numerical simulations that pandemic could be eradicated faster if a human community selfishly adopts mandatory quarantine measures at various coverage levels with proper awareness. Finally, we have executed the joint variability of all classes to understand the effectiveness of quarantine policy on human population. (c) 2021 THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/).Article Citation - WoS: 29Citation - Scopus: 39An Intuitionistic Fuzzy Decision Support System for Covid-19 Lockdown Relaxation Protocols in India(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2022) Devi, S. Aicevarya; Felix, A.; Narayanamoorthy, Samayan; Ahmadian, Ali; Balaenu, Dumitru; Kang, Daekook; Aicevarya Devi, S.In January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) identified a world-threatening virus, SARS-CoV-2. To diminish the virus spread rate, India implemented a six-month-long lockdown. During this period, the Indian government lifted certain restrictions. Therefore, this study investigates the efficacy of India's lockdown relaxation protocols using fuzzy decision-making. The decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) is one of the fuzzy MCDM methods. When it is associated with intuitionistic fuzzy circumstances, it is known as the intuitionistic fuzzy DEMATEL (IF-DEMATEL) method. Moreover, converting intuitionistic fuzzy into a crisp score (CIFCS) algorithm is an aggregation technique utilized for the intuitionistic fuzzy set. By using IF-DEMATEL and CIFCS, the most efficient lockdown relaxation protocols for COVID-19 are determined. It also provides the cause and effect relationship of the lockdown relaxation protocols. Additionally, the comparative study is carried out through various DEMATEL methods to see the effectiveness of the result. The findings would be helpful to the government's decision-making process in the fight against the pandemic.Article Citation - WoS: 9Citation - Scopus: 15Numerical Simulations on Scale-Free and Random Networks for the Spread of Covid-19 in Pakistan(Elsevier, 2023) Nizami, Abdul Rauf; Baleanu, Dumitru; Ahmad, Nadeem; Rafiq, MuhammadEpidemiology is the study of how and why an infectious disease occurs in a group of peo-ple. Several epidemiological models have been developed to get information on the spread of a dis-ease in society. That information is used to plan strategies to prevent illness and manage patients. But, most of these models consider only random diffusion of the disease and hence ignore the num-ber of interactions among people. To take into account the interactions among individuals, the net-work approach is becoming increasingly popular. It is novel to consider the dynamics of infectious disease using various networks rather than classical differential equation models. In this paper, we numerically simulate the Susceptible-Infected-Recoverd (SIR) model on Barabasi-Albert network and Erd delta s-Re acute accent nyi network to analyze the spread of COVID-19 in Pakistan so that we know the severity of the disease. We also show how a situation becomes alarming if hubs in a network get infected.(c) 2022 THE AUTHORS. Published by Elsevier BV on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).Article Citation - WoS: 34Citation - Scopus: 43Study of Global Dynamics of Covid-19 Via a New Mathematical Model(Elsevier, 2020) Seadawy, Aly R.; Shah, Kamal; Ullah, Aman; Baleanu, Dumitru; Din, Rahim UdThe theme of this paper focuses on the mathematical modeling and transmission mechanism of the new Coronavirus shortly noted as (COVID-19), endangering the lives of people and causing a great menace to the world recently. We used a new type epidemic model composed on four compartments that is susceptible, exposed, infected and recovered (SEIR), which describes the dynamics of COVID-19 under convex incidence rate. We simulate the results by using nonstandard finite difference method (NSFDS) which is a powerful numerical tool. We describe the new model on some random data and then by the available data of a particular regions of Subcontinents.Article Citation - WoS: 102Citation - Scopus: 111Stationary Distribution and Extinction of Stochastic Coronavirus (covid-19) Epidemic Model(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2020) Khan, Amir; Baleanu, Dumitru; Din, AnwarudSimilar to other epidemics, the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) spread very fast and infected almost two hundreds countries around the globe since December 2019. The unique characteristics of the COVID-19 include its ability of faster expansion through freely existed viruses or air molecules in the atmosphere. Assuming that the spread of virus follows a random process instead of deterministic. The continuous time Markov Chain (CTMC) through stochastic model approach has been utilized for predicting the impending states with the use of random variables. The proposed study is devoted to investigate a model consist of three exclusive compartments. The first class includes white nose based transmission rate (termed as susceptible individuals), the second one pertains to the infected population having the same perturbation occurrence and the last one isolated (quarantined) individuals. We discuss the model's extinction as well as the stationary distribution in order to derive the the sufficient criterion for the persistence and disease' extinction. Lastly, the numerical simulation is executed for supporting the theoretical findings. (C) 2020 Published by Elsevier Ltd.Article Citation - WoS: 28Citation - Scopus: 32New Applications Related To Covid-19(Elsevier, 2021) Ahmed, Nauman; Raza, Ali; Iqbal, Zafar; Rafiq, Muhammad; Baleanu, Dumitru; Rehman, Muhammad Aziz-ur; Akgul, AliAnalysis of mathematical models projected for COVID-19 presents in many valuable outputs. We analyze a model of differential equation related to Covid-19 in this paper. We use fractal-fractional derivatives in the proposed model. We analyze the equilibria of the model. We discuss the stability analysis in details. We apply very effective method to obtain the numerical results. We demonstrate our results by the numerical simulations.Article Citation - WoS: 33Citation - Scopus: 35Mathematical Analysis for the Effect of Voluntary Vaccination on the Propagation of Corona Virus Pandemic(Elsevier, 2021) Abbas, M.; Rafiq, M.; Baleanu, D.; Ahmad, W.In this manuscript, a new nonlinear model for the rapidly spreading Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is developed. We incorporate an additional class of vaccinated humans which ascertains the impact of vaccination strategy for susceptible humans. A complete mathematical analysis of this model is conducted to predict the dynamics of Corona virus in the population. The analysis proves the effectiveness of vaccination strategy employed and helps public health services to control or to reduce the burden of corona virus pandemic. We first prove the existence and uniqueness and then boundedness and positivity of solutions. Threshold parameter for the vaccination model is computed analytically. Stability of the proposed model at fixed points is investigated analytically with the help of threshold parameter to examine epidemiological relevance of the pandemic. We apply LaSalle's invariance principle from the theory of Lyapunov function to prove the global stability of both the equilibria. Two well known numerical techniques namely Runge-Kutta method of order 4 (RK4), and the Non-Standard Finite Difference (NSFD) method are employed to solve the system of ODE's and to validate our obtained theoretical results. For different coverage levels of voluntary vaccination, we explored a complete quantitative analysis of the model. To draw our conclusions, the effect of proposed vaccination on threshold parameter is studied numerically. It is claimed that Corona virus disease could be eradicated faster if a human community selfishly adopts mandatory vaccination measures at various coverage levels with proper awareness. Finally, we have executed the joint variability of all classes to understand the effect of vaccination strategy on a disease dynamics.