Makine Mühendisliği Bölümü Yayın Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/263
Browse
3 results
Search Results
Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 5Ann and Anfis Performance Prediction Models for Francis Type Turbines(Turkish Soc thermal Sciences Technology, 2020) Aylı, Ülkü Ece; Ayli, Ece; Ulucak, Oguzhan; Makine MühendisliğiTurbines can be operated under partial loading conditions due to the seasonal precipitation fluctuations and due to the needed electrical demand over time. According to this partial working need, designers generate hill chart diagrams to observe the system behavior under different flow rates and head values. In order to generate a hill chart, several numerical or experimental studies have been performed at different guide vane openings and head values which are very time consuming and expensive. In this study, the efficiency prediction of Francis turbines has been performed with ANN and ANFIS methods under different operating conditions and compared with simulation results. The obtained results indicate that it is possible to obtain a hill chart using ANFIS method instead of a costly experimental or numerical tests. ANN and ANFIS parameters which effect the output, have been optimized with trying 100 different cases. 75% of the numerical data set is used for training and 25 % is used for validation as testing data. To asses and compare the performance of multiple ANN and ANFIS models several statistical indicators have been used. Insight to the performance evaluation, it is seen that ANFIS can predict the efficiency distribution with higher accuracy than the ANN model. The developed ANFIS model predicts the efficiency with 1.41% mean average percentage error and 0.999 R-2 value. To the best of the author's knowledge, this is the first study in the literature that ANN and ANFIS are used in order to predict the efficiency distribution of the turbines at different loading conditions.Article Citation - WoS: 8Citation - Scopus: 8Supervised Learning Method for Prediction of Heat Transfer Characteristics of Nanofluids(Korean Soc Mechanical Engineers, 2023) Kocak, Eyup; Ayli, EceThis study focuses on the alication and investigation of the predictive ability of artificial intelligence in the numerical modelling of nanofluid flows. Numerical and experimental methods are powerful tools from an accuracy point of view, but they are also time- and cost-consuming methods. Therefore, using soft-computing techniques can improve such CFD drawbacks by patterning the CFD data. After obtaining the aropriate ANN and ANFIS architecture using the CFD data, many new data can be created without requiring numerical and experimental methods. In the scope of this research, the FCM-ANFIS and ANN methods are used to predict the thermal behaviour of the turbulent flow in a heated pipe with several nanoparticles. A parametric CFD study is carried out for water-TiO2, water-CuO, and water-SiO2 nanofluid through a pipe. The Reynolds number is varied between 7000 and 15000, and the nanofluid concentration is varied between 0.25 % and 4 %. The effects of using nanofluid on local values of Nusselt number and shear stress distribution were investigated. Numerical results indicate that with the increasing nanoparticle volume fraction of nanofluid, the average Nusselt number increases, but the required pumping power also increases. The obtained soft computing results demonstrate that the FCM clustering ANFIS has given better results both in training and testing when it is compared to the ANN architecture with an R-2 of 0.9983. Regarding this, the FCM-ANFIS is an excellent candidate for calculating the Nusselt number in heat transfer problems.Article Citation - WoS: 16Citation - Scopus: 17A Comparative Study of Multiple Regression and Machine Learning Techniques for Prediction of Nanofluid Heat Transfer(Asme, 2022) Ayli, Ece; Turkoglu, Hasmet; Kocak, EyupThe aim of this article is to introduce and discuss prediction power of the multiple regression technique, artificial neural network (ANN), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS) methods for predicting the forced convection heat transfer characteristics of a turbulent nanofluid flow in a pipe. Water and Al2O3 mixture is used as the nanofluid. Utilizing fluent software, numerical computations were performed with volume fraction ranging between 0.3% and 5%, particle diameter ranging between 20 and 140 nm, and Reynolds number ranging between 7000 and 21,000. Based on the computationally obtained results, a correlation is developed for the Nusselt number using the multiple regression method. Also, based on the computational fluid dynamics results, different ANN architectures with different number of neurons in the hidden layers and several training algorithms (Levenberg-Marquardt, Bayesian regularization, scaled conjugate gradient) are tested to find the best ANN architecture. In addition, ANFIS is also used to predict the Nusselt number. In the ANFIS, number of clusters, exponential factor, and membership function (MF) type are optimized. The results obtained from multiple regression correlation, ANN, and ANFIS were compared. According to the obtained results, ANFIS is a powerful tool with a R-2 of 0.9987 for predictions.