Bankacılık ve Finans Bölümü Yayın Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/400
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Article Citation - WoS: 2Citation - Scopus: 2An Alternative Mean Reversion Test for Interest Rates(Central Bank Republic Turkey, 2018) Ozel, Ozgur; Ilalan, DenizA number of empirical studies assert that interest rates are governed by unit root processes rejecting any form of reversion to a long term mean by resorting to certain tests, among which the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) is the most widely used one. In this study, we propose an alternative testing methodology that can be applied along with ADF test, in the sense that there are times where it can capture stationarity when the other fails to do so. Moreover, our test has more power than ADF test. As an application to real-data, we consider 10-year US and Turkish T-bond rates. (C) 2017 Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V.Article Citation - Scopus: 2Profitability Effects of Cash Conversion Cycle: Evidence From Turkish Companies(National Academy of Management, 2013) Karadagli, E.This paper examines the impact of cash conversion cycle and its single components, specifically accounts collection period, inventory turnover in days and accounts payable period, on firm profitability as measured by operating income and stock market return by using pooled panel analysis for the period of 2001-2010. Besides, the possible effects of group affiliation on the impact of CCC and its components on firm profitability are also investigated. The findings suggest that shortening of CCC and its single components, including accounts payable period, improve firm profitability in terms of both accounting and market measures of performance. The findings also indicate that both the affiliated and the unaffiliated firms can enhance firm performance in terms of both performance measures through shortening their CCCs, this effect is stronger for unaffiliated firms and hence working capital management seems to be more important for them. © Ece Karadagli, 2013.Article Citation - Scopus: 2A Nonlinear Analysis of Weak Form Efficiency of Stock Index Futures Markets in Cce Emerging Economies(2012) Karadagli, E.C.; Donmez, M.G.Futures markets, through carrying considerable impact on the spot market, serving such functions as price discovery and risk reduction for all market participants, and providing beneficial effects on the economic growth process especially in emerging countries, appear to be a vital part of a well-functioning economy. Accordingly, this paper examines weak form futures market efficiency of five CEE Emerging Economies. For this purpose, besides the traditional unit root tests, to account for nonlinearities in financial data, we employ nonlinear unit root tests along with their panel extensions. The results suggest that although the examined markets are efficient in linear sense, inefficiencies prevail when we account for nonlinearities. These findings imply that the examined countries, especially Poland and Turkey, need to take precautions to overcome the obstacles in their prevailing market structures, especially inherited in the sources of nonlinearity in the financial data, and to ensure a more efficient futures markets. © EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. 2012.Article The effects of terrorist activities on foreign direct investment: nonlinear Evidence(2013) Omay, Tolga; Takay Araz, Bahar; Ilalan, DenizIn this study, we examine the relationship between foreign direct investment and terrorist incidents that took place in Turkey for the period from 1991:12 to 2003:12. This research contributes to the literature by checking for a possible non-linear relationship between terrorism and foreign direct investment. The data used to measure the intensity of terrorism were collected from the newspapers of Turkey, and therefore are limited to the direct signals given to the market. Empirical evidence from both linear and non-linear models confirms that terrorism has a large significant negative impact on foreign direct investment. With respect to the nonlinear model, the impact of terrorism on the foreign direct investment is more severe during periods of high terrorism when the intensity of terrorism passes the threshold level 3.725.Article The Impact of Fed Policy Announcements on Emerging Stock Markets: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul(2017) Akdoğan, Ece C.; İlalan, DenizThis paper aims to understand the impact of US nonfarm payroll announcements on emerging stock markets through concentrating on the Turkish Stock Exchange: BIST 100. We not only investigate the impact of each of the three components of the nonfarm payroll data for the whole period under consideration, but also look for possible differences among four sub-periods. A comparative analysis leads us to conclude that it is not the nonfarm payroll which significantly affect BIST 100, but the fact that it is regarded as an important indicator to foresee Fed’s policy actions that can alter the capital flows.Article Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form to approximate smooth breaks in unit root testing(2015) Omay, TolgaIn this study, a Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form DF-type unit root test is proposed. The small sample properties of the proposed test are found to be better than that of the integer frequency counterpart. •Fractional Frequency Flexible Fourier Form-DF-type of unit root test is proposed.•The small sample properties of FFFFF-DF-type test are better than EL test.•FFFFF-DF-type test improves the empirical testing performance.•FFFFF-DF-type test prevents type two errors and over-filtration problems.Article Citation - WoS: 5Citation - Scopus: 6Elliott Wave Principle and the Corresponding Fractional Brownian Motion in Stock Markets: Evidence From Nikkei 225 Index(Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd, 2016) Ilalan, DenizThis paper examines one of the vital technical analysis indicators known as the Elliott wave principle. Since these waves have a fractal nature with patterns that are not exact, we first determine the dimension of them. Our second aim is to find a linkage between Elliott wave principle and fractional Brownian motion via comparing their Hausdorff dimensions. Thirdly, we consider the Nikkei 225 index during Japan asset price bubble, which is a perfect example of an Elliott wave. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Article How Globalization Affects The Operational Efficiency of Emerging Market Firms?: A Comparative Analysis On Turkish SMEs(Univ Oviedo, 2018) Akdoğan, Ece CeylanThis paper examines the impact of globalization on the operational efficiency of emerging market firms by concentrating on the financial outcomes of a firm's main operations through focusing on operating income and cash conversion cycle as well as on their possible causes in an emerging market, Turkey. The findings indicate that globalization significantly deteriorates the operating income and lengthens the cash conversion cycle of Turkish firms. Besides, globalization is found to increase sales of SMEs and decrease sales of large companies significantly and the impact on operating income of large companies is observed to be stronger. Globalization is also found to lead a softening in Turkish firm's terms of sales and enable Turkish SMEs to benefit from better terms of purchase.
