PubMed İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12416/8650
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Article Citation - WoS: 6Citation - Scopus: 6Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus with the Impact of Media Coverage(Elsevier, 2021) Fatima, BiBi; Alqudah, Manar A.; Zaman, Gul; Jarad, Fahd; Abdeljawad, ThabetMiddle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus has been persistent in the Middle East region since 2012. In this paper, we propose a deterministic mathematical model to investigate the effect of media coverage on the transmission and control of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus disease. In order to do this we develop model formulation. Basic reproduction number R-0 will be calculated from the model to assess the transmissibility of the (MERS-CoV). We discuss the existence of backward bifurcation for some range of parameters. We also show stability of the model to figure out the stability condition and impact of media coverage. We show a special case of the model for which the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Finally all the theoretical results will be verified with the help of numerical simulation for easy understanding.Article Citation - WoS: 4Citation - Scopus: 6Numerical Treatments for the Optimal Control of Two Types Variable-Order Covid-19 Model(Elsevier, 2022) Al-Mekhlafi, Seham; Shatta, Salma; Baleanu, Dumitru; Sweilam, NasserIn this paper, a novel variable-order COVID-19 model with modified parameters is presented. The variable -order fractional derivatives are defined in the Caputo sense. Two types of variable order Caputo definitions are presented here. The basic reproduction number of the model is derived. Properties of the proposed model are studied analytically and numerically. The suggested optimal control model is studied using two numerical methods. These methods are non-standard generalized fourth-order Runge-Kutta method and the non-standard generalized fifth-order Runge-Kutta technique. Furthermore, the stability of the proposed methods are studied. To demonstrate the methodologies' simplicity and effectiveness, numerical test examples and comparisons with real data for Egypt and Italy are shown.Article Citation - WoS: 72Citation - Scopus: 78Dynamical Behaviours and Stability Analysis of a Generalized Fractional Model With a Real Case Study(Elsevier, 2023) Baleanu, D.; Arshad, S.; Jajarmi, A.; Shokat, W.; Ghassabzade, F. Akhavan; Wali, M.Introduction: Mathematical modelling is a rapidly expanding field that offers new and interesting oppor-tunities for both mathematicians and biologists. Concerning COVID-19, this powerful tool may help humans to prevent the spread of this disease, which has affected the livelihood of all people badly. Objectives: The main objective of this research is to explore an efficient mathematical model for the investigation of COVID-19 dynamics in a generalized fractional framework.Methods: The new model in this paper is formulated in the Caputo sense, employs a nonlinear time -varying transmission rate, and consists of ten population classes including susceptible, infected, diag-nosed, ailing, recognized, infected real, threatened, diagnosed recovered, healed, and extinct people. The existence of a unique solution is explored for the new model, and the associated dynamical beha-viours are discussed in terms of equilibrium points, invariant region, local and global stability, and basic reproduction number. To implement the proposed model numerically, an efficient approximation scheme is employed by the combination of Laplace transform and a successive substitution approach; besides, the corresponding convergence analysis is also investigated.Results: Numerical simulations are reported for various fractional orders, and simulation results are com-pared with a real case of COVID-19 pandemic in Italy. By using these comparisons between the simulated and measured data, we find the best value of the fractional order with minimum absolute and relative errors. Also, the impact of different parameters on the spread of viral infection is analyzed and studied.Conclusion: According to the comparative results with real data, we justify the use of fractional concepts in the mathematical modelling, for the new non-integer formalism simulates the reality more precisely than the classical framework.& COPY; 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).Article Citation - WoS: 17Citation - Scopus: 21Nonstandard Finite Difference Method for Solving Complex-Order Fractional Burgers' Equations(Elsevier, 2020) AL-Mekhlafi, S. M.; Baleanu, D.; Sweilam, N. H.The aim of this work is to present numerical treatments to a complex order fractional nonlinear one-dimensional problem of Burgers' equations. A new parameter sigma(t) is presented in order to be consistent with the physical model problem. This parameter characterizes the existence of fractional structures in the equations. A relation between the parameter sigma(t) and the time derivative complex order is derived. An unconditionally stable numerical scheme using a kind of weighted average nonstandard finite-difference discretization is presented. Stability analysis of this method is studied. Numerical simulations are given to confirm the reliability of the proposed method. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University.Article Citation - WoS: 28Citation - Scopus: 32New Applications Related To Covid-19(Elsevier, 2021) Ahmed, Nauman; Raza, Ali; Iqbal, Zafar; Rafiq, Muhammad; Baleanu, Dumitru; Rehman, Muhammad Aziz-ur; Akgul, AliAnalysis of mathematical models projected for COVID-19 presents in many valuable outputs. We analyze a model of differential equation related to Covid-19 in this paper. We use fractal-fractional derivatives in the proposed model. We analyze the equilibria of the model. We discuss the stability analysis in details. We apply very effective method to obtain the numerical results. We demonstrate our results by the numerical simulations.Article Citation - WoS: 33Citation - Scopus: 35Mathematical Analysis for the Effect of Voluntary Vaccination on the Propagation of Corona Virus Pandemic(Elsevier, 2021) Abbas, M.; Rafiq, M.; Baleanu, D.; Ahmad, W.In this manuscript, a new nonlinear model for the rapidly spreading Corona virus disease (COVID-19) is developed. We incorporate an additional class of vaccinated humans which ascertains the impact of vaccination strategy for susceptible humans. A complete mathematical analysis of this model is conducted to predict the dynamics of Corona virus in the population. The analysis proves the effectiveness of vaccination strategy employed and helps public health services to control or to reduce the burden of corona virus pandemic. We first prove the existence and uniqueness and then boundedness and positivity of solutions. Threshold parameter for the vaccination model is computed analytically. Stability of the proposed model at fixed points is investigated analytically with the help of threshold parameter to examine epidemiological relevance of the pandemic. We apply LaSalle's invariance principle from the theory of Lyapunov function to prove the global stability of both the equilibria. Two well known numerical techniques namely Runge-Kutta method of order 4 (RK4), and the Non-Standard Finite Difference (NSFD) method are employed to solve the system of ODE's and to validate our obtained theoretical results. For different coverage levels of voluntary vaccination, we explored a complete quantitative analysis of the model. To draw our conclusions, the effect of proposed vaccination on threshold parameter is studied numerically. It is claimed that Corona virus disease could be eradicated faster if a human community selfishly adopts mandatory vaccination measures at various coverage levels with proper awareness. Finally, we have executed the joint variability of all classes to understand the effect of vaccination strategy on a disease dynamics.Article Citation - WoS: 69Citation - Scopus: 90Analysis of Fractional Model of Guava for Biological Pest Control With Memory Effect(Elsevier, 2021) Ganbari, Behzad; Kumar, Devendra; Baleanu, Dumitru; Singh, JagdevIntroduction: Fractional operators find their applications in several scientific and engineering processes. We consider a fractional guava fruit model involving a non-local additionally non-singular fractional derivative for the interaction into guava pests and natural enemies. The fractional guava fruit model is considered as a Lotka-Volterra nature. Objectives: The main objective of this work is to study a guava fruit model associated with a non-local additionally non-singular fractional derivative for the interaction into guava pests and natural enemies. Methods: Existence and uniqueness analysis of the solution is evaluated effectively by using Picard Lindelof approach. An approximate numerical solution of the fractional guava fruit problem is obtained via a numerical scheme. Results: The positivity analysis and equilibrium analysis for the fractional guava fruit model is discussed. The numerical results are demonstrated to prove our theoretical results. The graphical behavior of solution of the fractional guava problem at the distinct fractional order values and at various parameters is discussed. Conclusion: The graphical behavior of solution of the fractional guava problem at the distinct fractional order values and at various parameters shows new vista and interesting phenomena of the model. The results are indicating that the fractional approach with non-singular kernel plays an important role in the study of different scientific problems. The suggested numerical scheme is very efficient for solving nonlinear fractional models of physical importance. (C) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Cairo University.